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Debt dynamics and contingency financing: theoretical reappraisal of the HIPC initiative
The debt dynamics of the HIPC Initiative
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Overview
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Papers by Same Organization
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The objective of this paper is to examine debt dynamics of Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPCs). Paper examines the conditions of debt sustainability and reviews other key concepts of debt dynamics, such as 'liquidity problem' and 'insolvency condition'. It analyses conditions under which a debt burden becomes unsustainable and debt forgiveness is a rationale choice for both creditors and debtors to overcome the ensued 'debt overhang' condition. Further sections present empirical evidence of debt dynamics and effectiveness of ex-post debt relief facilities over the last two decades in selected HIPCs, and present a proposal to use a state-contingent debt contract as an ex-ante debt relief mechanism, as opposed to the current approach, which is viewed as an ineffective mechanism for 'debt-crisis' prevention and management. Conclusions:- one of the major conditions, which has made their external debt unsustainable and, hence, given rise to the protracted debt crisis over the last two decades, is their extreme susceptibility to large-scale external shocks such as the terms of trade effects. Past and existing debt relief mechanisms, including the HIPC initiatives, have failed to pay sufficient attention to this condition
- instead, official creditors have kept applying ex-post debt relief mechanisms in response to recurrent liquidity crises and the ensued debilitating 'debt overhang' condition, with firm belief that Structural Adjustment Programmes attached as policy conditionality would bring about structural transformation of these economies required to overcome this condition
- the existing contingency financing facilities at IMF are not much help to HIPCs. Apart from the fact that high conditionality has been historically applied to these facilities, CCL is not available to a country which uses any other facility such as PRGF, while CCF is provided on non-concessional terms, hence too expensive for utilisation
- it is critically important to establish genuinely flexible, state-contingent debt relief mechanisms in order to avoid the recurrence of debt crisis, which has stalled economic development of low-income countries for so long. Drawing an efficient, state contingent debt contract is within our technical capability. What is lacking now is the political will and commitment to realise this possibility
[Adapted from the author] Provided by Eldis, a GDNet content partner |
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| Debt relief and ODA: most important not in isolation, but as help for self-help |
| By Abrego, L.|Ross, D. C., 2001 |
| Produced by: WIDER Development Conference on Debt Relief |
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| Themes: Development Finance & Aid Effectiveness, Environment and Climate Change, International Affairs, Labor & Social Protections, Macroeconomics and Economic Growth, Poverty & Inequality, Private Sector Development, Urban Development and the Global South |
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| Will the HIPC Initiative prove to have been more or less influential than its almost accidental by-product, the PRSP? |
| By Booth, D., 2001 |
| Produced by: WIDER Development Conference on Debt Relief |
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| Themes: Domestic Resource Mobilization, Poverty & Inequality |
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| Uganda, debt and the HIPC initiative |
| By Muwanga-Zake, E.S.K. and Ndhaye, S., 2001 |
| Produced by: WIDER Development Conference on Debt Relief |
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| Countries: Uganda |
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